In this study, a seismogenic source zone model for the Algeria-Morocco region is proposed for seismic forecasting and seismic hazard studies. The delineation includes five zones  based  on  available  seismic  and  geological  data.  The  zone  model  includes  the Moroccan Meseta, the Rif, the Tell zone, the High Plateaux and the Atlas zone.  Earthquake
occurrence  process  in  this  region  is  modelled  and  analyzed  using  recent  and  updated earthquake catalogs for  northern Morocco and  northern Algeria  compiled  in former studies (Peláez  et al. 2007; Hamdache  et al. 2010).  For  these catalogues, dependent events were
identified  and  removed  by  adapting  Gardner  and  Knopoff  declustering  procedure  to  the characteristics  of  the  study  region.  Magnitudes  of  completeness  were  estimated  using different methods, then the Poissonian character of the obtained sub-catalogs was analyzed.
The b-value of the Gutenberg-Richter recurrence relationship, considered as an area-specific seismic hazard parameter, was initially computed using the Weichert (1980) approach. In  order  to  characterize  each  seismogenic  zone  we  have  used  a  new  parameter  named seismic  activity,  defined  as  the  number  of  earthquakes  with  magnitude  above Mw 4.0  in
each seismogenic zone since 1925 by each 10 years and 10000 km2.  The obtained results show  for  example,  in  the  Tell  zone,  the  seismic  activity  is  equal  to  2.6  and1.91  in  the  Rif region. The  b-value estimation has been improved by using  an extension of the Aki-Utsu  bvalue  estimator  for  incomplete  earthquake  catalogs  (Kijko  and  Smit,  2012).  Taking  into account  that  the  maximum  possible  magnitude  is  an  important  parameter  required  by earthquake engineering community, disaster management agencies and insurance industry, a  detailed  analysis  has  been  performed  using  different  statistical  methods,  free  from
subjective assumptions and only  related to the quality of the earthquake data file.  Thus, the maximum possible magnitude, using parametric and non-parametric procedures, is analyzed at each seismogenic zone and its probability distribution function is derived.  Then, we derive the  activity  rate   m  for  events  above  the  magnitude m,  the  return  period  for  different magnitudes and the probability of exceeding a magnitude m during a time period of T years. The analysis has been performed at each seismogenic zone of the proposed model.
Research Abstract	
              Research Department	
              
          Research Journal	
              SECED 2015 Conference: Earthquake Risk and Engineering towards a Resilient World, Cambridge UK 
          Research Member	
          
      Research Publisher	
              SECED 2015 Conference
          Research Rank	
              3
          Research Vol	
              NULL
          Research Website	
              http://www.seced.org.uk/index.php/seced-2015
          Research Year	
              2015
          Research Pages	
              NULL