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The Gupta Perioperative Risk for Myocardial Infarct or Cardiac Arrest (MICA) Calculator as an Intraoperative Neurologic Deficit Predictor in Carotid Endarterectomy

Research Authors
Juliana Pereira-Macedo 1,2,3,* ,† , Beatriz Lopes-Fernandes 4,† , Luís Duarte-Gamas 3,5 , António Pereira-Neves 3,5,6, Joana Mourão 7,8, Ahmed Khairy 9 , José Paulo Andrade 2,6 , Ana Marreiros 4 and João Rocha-Neves 3,5,6
Research Date
Research Department
Research File
Research Journal
J. Clin. Med. 2022, 11, 6367.
Research Member
Research Abstract

Abstract: Background:

Patients undergoing carotid endarterectomy (CEA) may experiment intraoperative neurologic deficits (IND) during carotid cross-clamping. This work aimed to assess the impact of the Gupta Perioperative Myocardial Infarct or Cardiac Arrest (MICA) risk calculator in the IND.

Methods: From January 2012 to April 2021, patients undergoing CEA with regional anaesthesia for carotid stenosis with IND and consecutively control operated patients without IND were selected. A regressive predictive model was created, and a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was applied for comparison. A multivariable dependence analysis was conducted using a classification and regression tree (CRT) algorithm. Results: A total of 97 out of 194 included patients developed IND. Obesity showed aOR = 4.01 (95% CI: 1.66–9.67) and MICA score aOR = 1.21 (1.03–1.43). Higher contralateral stenosis showed aOR = 1.29 (1.08–1.53). The AUROC curve was 0.656. The CRT algorithm differentiated obese patients with a MICA score ≥ 8. Regarding non-obese patients, the model identified the presence of contralateral stenosis ≥ 55% with a MICA ≥ 10.

Conclusion: MICA score might play an additional role in stratifying patients for IND in CEA. Obesity was determined as the best discrimination factor, followed by a score ≥ 8. A higher ipsilateral stenosis degree is suggested to have a part in avoiding procedure-related IND. Larger studies might validate the benefit of MICA score regarding the risk of IND.

Keywords: carotid endarterectomy; carotid stenosis; major adverse cardiovascular events; survival analysis; MICA score; atherosclerosis; perioperative stroke