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Improving Short-term Daily Streamflow Forecasting Using an Autoencoder Based CNN-LSTM Model

Research Authors
Umar Muhammad Mustapha Kumshe, Zakariya Muhammad Abdulhamid, Baba Ahmad Mala, Tasiu Muazu, Abdullahi Uwaisu Muhammad, Ousmane Sangary, Abdoul Fatakhou Ba, Sani Tijjani, Jibril Muhammad Adam, Mosaad Ali Hussein Ali, Aliyu Uthman Bello, Muhammad Muhammad Ba
Research Member
Research Date
Research Year
2024
Research Vol
38
Research_Pages
5973–5989
Research Website
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11269-024-03937-2
Research Abstract

Streamflow forecasting is vital for managing water resources, such as flood control, agriculture planning, hydropower generation, environmental management, drought management, and water quality management. Motivated by the success of artificial intelligence models for hydrological applications, this study proposes a model that integrates an autoencoder, the Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN), and the Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) networks. Thirty years daily dataset were served to the Autoencoder Convolutional Neural Network Long Short Term Memory (AE-CNN-LSTM) and the baseline models. To evaluate the model's accuracy, 80% of the dataset was used for training and the remaining 20% was used to test the performance of these models. Statistical metrics, for instance, the Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), the Mean Absolute Error (MAE), the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), the Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE), and the Coefficient of determination (R2) were employed to evaluate the model’s performance. In terms of train RMSE, test RMSE, train MAE, test MAE, train MAPE, test MAPE, train NSE, test NSE, train R2, and test R2, the proposed model significantly obtained the best results with values of 2.6299, 2.7971, 0.1676, 0.1881, 16.76, 18.81, 0.98, 0.97, 0.98, and 0.96, respectively.

Research Rank
International Journal